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HOGSWAP

Algorand Up or Down on September 10?

Alpha ArcadeOpen
Trades
4
Volume (USDC)
296.86
Last trade
2026-09-10 15:00Z
Resolves

Implied probability from trades in USDC

YES 73.0%NO 93.4%

at 2026-09-10 15:00ZYES not yet tradingNO 93.35%trades 1volume 93.35 USDC

Read from the market’s own trades: an outcome token is an asset, and what was paid for a share is the probability the buyer put on it. A dot marks a bucket somebody traded in; between them the line holds the last traded level, which is what the market was still saying. The two sides do not sum to 100% — the gap is the spread — and each side ends at its own last trade rather than being carried to today.

Order book resting on chain, priced in USDC

bid 0.00%ask one-sided

PriceSharesOrd
0.00%1001

Every order is its own application holding what it offers in escrow, so this is the whole resting book as the chain has it — not a venue’s view of it. A book with one side and none on the other is normal. If Alpha Arcade’s own panel shows more depth than this, it is showing off-chain interest alongside the resting orders.