Will the Boston Red Sox beat the Baltimore Orioles on September 6?
Alpha ArcadeResolved YESoracle 6JJSAY…2URA
- Trades
- 4
- Volume (USDC)
- 11.59
- Last trade
- 2026-09-06 18:00Z
- Resolves
- 2026-09-06 22:05Z
Implied probability from trades in USDC
YES 46.1%NO 61.3%
at 2026-09-06 18:00ZYES 46.13%NO 61.29%trades 2volume 7.98 USDC
Read from the market’s own trades: an outcome token is an asset, and what was paid for a share is the probability the buyer put on it. A dot marks a bucket somebody traded in; between them the line holds the last traded level, which is what the market was still saying. The two sides do not sum to 100% — the gap is the spread — and each side ends at its own last trade rather than being carried to today.
Order book resting on chain, priced in USDC
Nothing resting on this side
Most interest here fills in the block it appears in, so an empty book is the usual state rather than a fault.