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HOGSWAP

Algorand Up or Down on September 5?

Alpha ArcadeResolved YESoracle 6JJSAY2URA
Trades
1
Volume (USDC)
25
Last trade
2026-09-04 16:00Z
Resolves
2026-09-05 16:00Z

Implied probability from trades in USDC

YES 54.7%

at 2026-09-04 16:00ZYES 54.65%NO not yet tradingtrades 1volume 25 USDC

Read from the market’s own trades: an outcome token is an asset, and what was paid for a share is the probability the buyer put on it. A dot marks a bucket somebody traded in; between them the line holds the last traded level, which is what the market was still saying. The two sides do not sum to 100% — the gap is the spread — and each side ends at its own last trade rather than being carried to today.

Order book resting on chain, priced in USDC

Nothing resting on this side

Most interest here fills in the block it appears in, so an empty book is the usual state rather than a fault.