Skip to content
HOGSWAP

Will the Milwaukee Brewers beat the Chicago Cubs on September 3?

Alpha ArcadeResolved NOoracle 6JJSAY2URA
Trades
4
Volume (USDC)
47.79
Last trade
2026-09-04 01:00Z
Resolves
2026-09-04 03:45Z

Implied probability from trades in USDC

YES 24.4%NO 81.9%

at 2026-09-04 01:00ZYES 24.44%NO 81.90%trades 2volume 27.71 USDC

Read from the market’s own trades: an outcome token is an asset, and what was paid for a share is the probability the buyer put on it. A dot marks a bucket somebody traded in; between them the line holds the last traded level, which is what the market was still saying. The two sides do not sum to 100% — the gap is the spread — and each side ends at its own last trade rather than being carried to today.

Order book resting on chain, priced in USDC

Nothing resting on this side

Most interest here fills in the block it appears in, so an empty book is the usual state rather than a fault.