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HOGSWAP

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? : October 31

Alpha ArcadeOpenoracle YV2O3M…7GOE
Trades
36
Volume (USDC)
205.57
Last trade
2026-09-10 14:00Z
Resolves
2026-12-30 16:00Z

Implied probability from trades in USDC

YES 126.5%NO 87.8%

at 2026-09-10 14:00ZYES 126.49%NO not yet tradingtrades 4volume 0.39 USDC

Read from the market’s own trades: an outcome token is an asset, and what was paid for a share is the probability the buyer put on it. A dot marks a bucket somebody traded in; between them the line holds the last traded level, which is what the market was still saying. The two sides do not sum to 100% — the gap is the spread — and each side ends at its own last trade rather than being carried to today.

Order book resting on chain, priced in USDC

bid 6.64%ask 8.20%spread 1.56%

PriceSharesOrd
8.20%2501

spread 1.56%

6.64%11
6.50%4.891
6.30%1.891
6.10%1.891
5.05%318.81
4.30%30,0001
3.65%2501
3.60%35,0001

Every order is its own application holding what it offers in escrow, so this is the whole resting book as the chain has it — not a venue’s view of it. A book with one side and none on the other is normal. If Alpha Arcade’s own panel shows more depth than this, it is showing off-chain interest alongside the resting orders.