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HOGSWAP

Parlay (2 legs): Player Home Runs: Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 · Player Batting Walks: Carter Jensen Over 0.5

Alpha ArcadeResolved NOoracle 6JJSAY2URA

A parlay pays only if every leg comes in. It trades as one market with a single YES/NO pair rather than one per leg, so the line below is the probability of the whole slip landing — not of any leg in it.

Trades
2
Volume (USDC)
3.59
Last trade
2026-09-05 21:00Z
Resolves

Implied probability from trades in USDC

YES 11.2%NO 88.9%

at 2026-09-05 21:00ZYES 11.16%NO 88.90%trades 2volume 3.59 USDC

Read from the market’s own trades: an outcome token is an asset, and what was paid for a share is the probability the buyer put on it. A dot marks a bucket somebody traded in; between them the line holds the last traded level, which is what the market was still saying. The two sides do not sum to 100% — the gap is the spread — and each side ends at its own last trade rather than being carried to today.

Order book resting on chain, priced in USDC

Nothing resting on this side

Most interest here fills in the block it appears in, so an empty book is the usual state rather than a fault.