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HOGSWAP

How many jobs lost to AI in 2026? : 200,000+

Alpha ArcadeOpenoracle 6JJSAY2URA
Trades
6
Volume (USDC)
324.93
Last trade
2026-09-07 00:00Z
Resolves
2027-01-18 05:59Z

Implied probability from trades in USDC

YES 3.7%NO 93.5%

at 2026-09-07 00:00ZYES 3.73%NO not yet tradingtrades 1volume 9.33 USDC

Read from the market’s own trades: an outcome token is an asset, and what was paid for a share is the probability the buyer put on it. A dot marks a bucket somebody traded in; between them the line holds the last traded level, which is what the market was still saying. The two sides do not sum to 100% — the gap is the spread — and each side ends at its own last trade rather than being carried to today.

Order book resting on chain, priced in USDC

bid 3.50%ask 96.00%spread 92.50%

PriceSharesOrd
99.00%297.0211
98.00%109.595
97.00%7.51
96.00%10.892

spread 92.50%

3.50%2,5001
3.25%2501

Every order is its own application holding what it offers in escrow, so this is the whole resting book as the chain has it — not a venue’s view of it. A book with one side and none on the other is normal. If Alpha Arcade’s own panel shows more depth than this, it is showing off-chain interest alongside the resting orders.